Madden-Julian Oscillation Forecast | August 19, 2019

Watching the Gulf and Mid-Atlantic this week into next | CAT365

August 19, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Overall, current models are not developing much of anything through August, but this could change as we see conditions start to improve in the Atlantic.

Overall, current models are not developing much of anything through August, but this could change as we see conditions start to improve in the Atlantic.

Gulf of Mexico Moisture | August 14, 2019

Watching The Gulf Next Week | CAT365

August 14, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Still watching the tropics as moisture looks to be readily available as we head into late next week.

Still watching the tropics as moisture looks to be readily available as we head into late next week.

Madden–Julian Oscillation | August 12, 2019

Areas to watch | | 12 Aug 2019 | CAT365

August 12, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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It’s quiet… for now.

It’s quiet… for now.

Invest 96L Forecast Track Models | August 1, 2019

Wave #2 promoted to Invest 96L | CAT365

August 1, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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I96L is now at a 70% chance of development over the next five days.

I96L is now at a 70% chance of development over the next five days.

Invest 95 GFS Model | Day 10 (8/10/2019)

Invest 95 may be down and out, but wave #2 could be on the rise | CAT365

July 31, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Shear taking its toll on Invest 95, and models currently show it fading out as rain as it approaches the Florida Straits this weekend.

Shear taking its toll on Invest 95, and models currently show it fading out as rain as it approaches the Florida Straits this weekend.

Tropical Waves | July 30, 2019

And then there were two | CAT365

July 30, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Invest 95 is down to a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days after facing heavy shear yesterday.

Invest 95 is down to a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days after facing heavy shear yesterday.

Shear 7/29/2019

Invest 95 Update | CAT365

July 29, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Invest 95 still has a 20% chance of development over the next 5 days.

Invest 95 still has a 20% chance of development over the next 5 days.

Gulf system development unlikely | CAT365

July 25, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Our Gulf system is now down to a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days.

Our Gulf system is now down to a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days.

Gulf of Mexico disturbance, 7/24/2019

Our newest disturbance has landed in the Gulf | CAT365

July 24, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Our newest disturbance has landed in the Gulf, just south of Louisiana.

Our newest disturbance has landed in the Gulf, just south of Louisiana.

Invest 94 promoted to TD3, and we have a new system to watch in the Gulf | CAT365

July 23, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Invest 94 got its wheels and was promoted to a Tropical Depression yesterday.

Invest 94 got its wheels and was promoted to a Tropical Depression yesterday.