Two new waves in the Atlantic that need to be watched closely | CAT365

Chad Trosper, BPMP

4 years ago

Five-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook | August 17, 2020, 2:00pm ET

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We have two waves along the Main Development Region that need to be monitored closely.
The first wave has been upgraded to Invest 97 and has a 50% chance of development.
The second wave should be upgraded soon and has a 60% chance of development.
Both waves are low riders and have the potential to travel further west into the Caribbean towards the Gulf.
Models are still back and forth on track since we are still >5 days out, but most track one or both into the Caribbean/Gulf vs pulling northward as we have seen with past systems.
Given the waves’ placement and current track, we have the potential to see 2 possible systems in the Caribbean/Gulf by this weekend.
These systems will be entering the Caribbean/Gulf around the same time as our MJO wave is expected. This could easily fuel these systems.

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We ‘ll need to keep a close eye on both of these waves over the next 5-8 days. Lots to watch.

Chad Trosper, BPMP

Chad Trosper is the AVP of Catastrophe Claims at Tower Hill Insurance. He has over 19 years of experience in the claims industry and a true passion for weather. Chad graduated from the University of Florida with a degree in Business and Sociology and also holds a master’s certification in Business Process Management from the University of San Francisco. Chad currently resides in Gainesville, Florida, with his wife and three children.

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