NOAA has this area at a 0% chance of development over the next two days, but a 20% chance over the next five days. Models agree on the longer timeline and show moisture building off the coast this weekend into early next week.
From there, models show different scenarios of what this blob may do:
- Could get pushed over Florida and into the Gulf by early next week
- Could get push west inland and dissolve
- Could get pulled up and out to sea
- Or it could even split up. Some out to sea and the other half pushes west
Still way too far out to predict much, but we should keep an eye on it regardless.
Chad Trosper is the AVP of Catastrophe Claims at Tower Hill Insurance. He has over 19 years of experience in the claims industry and a true passion for weather. Chad graduated from the University of Florida with a degree in Business and Sociology and also holds a master’s certification in Business Process Management from the University of San Francisco. Chad currently resides in Gainesville, Florida, with his wife and three children.