If you looked at the latest NOAA, then you may have noticed that our Yellow Blob in the Caribbean is no more.
So are we in the clear? Well not so fast. The blob may be gone, but the energy is still there. It’s just headed for a new location (Energy Transformation 101 my dear). So where is it headed? It looks like we could see it try to regroup in the Bay of Campeche. Yup, we could have a Gyre form in the Bay that would help develop any energy around it, and that’s what models are betting on in the next 7-8 days.
So here is what we think based on modeling. All tentative of course:
- Energy building in the Bay of Campeche next week (Day +7)
- Potential development and push out into the Gulf (Day +9)
- Potential WNW track along TX-LA (Day +10)
- Strengthening expected (though we may see heavier shear and dry air push in)
Chad Trosper is the AVP of Catastrophe Claims at Tower Hill Insurance. He has over 19 years of experience in the claims industry and a true passion for weather. Chad graduated from the University of Florida with a degree in Business and Sociology and also holds a master’s certification in Business Process Management from the University of San Francisco. Chad currently resides in Gainesville, Florida, with his wife and three children.